US-CAN border is currently to remain closed until June 21st, as all of us hoping to travel this summer are probably well aware. I suspect the border will open without another month of closure. I wanted to display data looking at indicators for opening to occur. Death rates are down sharply. In the US, peak daily death rate per capita was 15 per million on April 16th. Today the death rate is 1/10th that, at 1.5 per million--actually in line with Canada which has 1/8 the population density. However, many are alarmed by case numbers increasing in some areas. To wit, testing per capita has doubled in the US in the last month, accounting for those increases (and further decreasing the case fatality rate). This is why I feel death, despite the delay from exposure, is a more reliable indicator of disease activity than positive test numbers. This mirrors what I am seeing in practice, with fewer sick COVID-19 patients and more patients coming in for testing. In March, due to limited SARS-COV-2 test availability, we had strict criteria for those who could be tested. Now, any symptomatic patient can be tested, and we are seeing results in <24 hours. Also interesting is how the activity (cases here), mirrors 2003 SARS nearly to the day. Wikipedia.